Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-08-07 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-08-07. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3.33, Philadelphia Phillies 5.12. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 69%, Toronto Blue Jays 31%. Projected total runs: 8.45.
Toronto Blue Jays
3.3
Predicted runs
31% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
5.1
Predicted runs
69% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.