Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-08-08 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-08-08. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3.79, Philadelphia Phillies 5.17. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 65%, Toronto Blue Jays 35%. Projected total runs: 8.96.
Toronto Blue Jays
3.8
Predicted runs
35% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
5.2
Predicted runs
65% to win
Projected total: 9.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.