Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-08-09 · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-08-09. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3.48, Philadelphia Phillies 5.33. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 70%, Toronto Blue Jays 30%. Projected total runs: 8.81.
Toronto Blue Jays
3.5
Predicted runs
30% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
5.3
Predicted runs
70% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.