Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox
2026-06-16 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-06-16. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3.99, Boston Red Sox 3.97. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 50%, Toronto Blue Jays 50%. Projected total runs: 7.97.
Toronto Blue Jays
4.0
Predicted runs
50% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.0
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.