Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox
2026-06-17 · 06:45 PM ET · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-06-17. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 5.11, Boston Red Sox 3.65. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 37%, Toronto Blue Jays 63%. Projected total runs: 8.76.
Toronto Blue Jays
5.1
Predicted runs
63% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.6
Predicted runs
37% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.