Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox
2026-06-18 · 01:35 PM ET · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-06-18. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 5.15, Boston Red Sox 4.26. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 43%, Toronto Blue Jays 57%. Projected total runs: 9.41.
Toronto Blue Jays
5.2
Predicted runs
57% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.3
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.