Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox
2026-07-24 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-07-24. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3.67, Boston Red Sox 3.7. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 51%, Toronto Blue Jays 49%. Projected total runs: 7.37.
Toronto Blue Jays
3.7
Predicted runs
49% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.7
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 7.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.