Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox
2026-07-25 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-07-25. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 4.45, Boston Red Sox 4.16. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 48%, Toronto Blue Jays 52%. Projected total runs: 8.61.
Toronto Blue Jays
4.5
Predicted runs
52% to win
Boston Red Sox
4.2
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.