Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox
2026-07-26 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-07-26. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 4.11, Boston Red Sox 3.93. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 49%, Toronto Blue Jays 51%. Projected total runs: 8.04.
Toronto Blue Jays
4.1
Predicted runs
51% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.9
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.