Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers
2026-05-16 · 01:10 PM ET · Comerica Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 2026-05-16. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3.11, Detroit Tigers 3.33. Model win probability: Detroit Tigers 54%, Toronto Blue Jays 46%. Projected total runs: 6.44.
Toronto Blue Jays
3.1
Predicted runs
46% to win
Detroit Tigers
3.3
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 6.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.