Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers
2026-05-17 · Comerica Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 2026-05-17. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3.48, Detroit Tigers 3.93. Model win probability: Detroit Tigers 56%, Toronto Blue Jays 44%. Projected total runs: 7.41.
Toronto Blue Jays
3.5
Predicted runs
44% to win
Detroit Tigers
3.9
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 7.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.