Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
2026-05-18 · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-05-18. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3.34, New York Yankees 4.97. Model win probability: New York Yankees 67%, Toronto Blue Jays 33%. Projected total runs: 8.32.
Toronto Blue Jays
3.3
Predicted runs
33% to win
New York Yankees
5.0
Predicted runs
67% to win
Projected total: 8.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.