Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
2026-05-21 · 07:05 PM ET · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-05-21. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3.21, New York Yankees 2.99. Model win probability: New York Yankees 48%, Toronto Blue Jays 52%. Projected total runs: 6.2.
Toronto Blue Jays
3.2
Predicted runs
52% to win
New York Yankees
3.0
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 6.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.