Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
2026-08-21 · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-08-21. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3.89, New York Yankees 4.67. Model win probability: New York Yankees 59%, Toronto Blue Jays 41%. Projected total runs: 8.56.
Toronto Blue Jays
3.9
Predicted runs
41% to win
New York Yankees
4.7
Predicted runs
59% to win
Projected total: 8.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
