Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
2026-08-22 · 01:35 PM ET · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-08-22. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 4.93, New York Yankees 4.48. Model win probability: New York Yankees 45%, Toronto Blue Jays 55%. Projected total runs: 9.4.
Toronto Blue Jays
4.9
Predicted runs
55% to win
New York Yankees
4.5
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.