Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees
2026-08-23 · Yankee Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on 2026-08-23. Predicted final score: Toronto Blue Jays 4.68, New York Yankees 4.61. Model win probability: New York Yankees 51%, Toronto Blue Jays 49%. Projected total runs: 9.3.
Toronto Blue Jays
4.7
Predicted runs
49% to win
New York Yankees
4.6
Predicted runs
51% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.