Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-07-11 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-07-11. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 4.81, St. Louis Cardinals 3.73. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 38%, Atlanta Braves 62%. Projected total runs: 8.54.
Atlanta Braves
4.8
Predicted runs
62% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
3.7
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.