Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-07-12 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-07-12. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 4.27, St. Louis Cardinals 3.58. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 43%, Atlanta Braves 57%. Projected total runs: 7.84.
Atlanta Braves
4.3
Predicted runs
57% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
3.6
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.