Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners
2026-05-04 · T-Mobile Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on 2026-05-04. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 4.17, Seattle Mariners 3.34. Model win probability: Seattle Mariners 40%, Atlanta Braves 60%. Projected total runs: 7.51.
Atlanta Braves
4.2
Predicted runs
60% to win
Seattle Mariners
3.3
Predicted runs
40% to win
Projected total: 7.5 runs
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