Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins
2026-05-18 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-05-18. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 3.97, Miami Marlins 3.47. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 46%, Atlanta Braves 54%. Projected total runs: 7.44.
Atlanta Braves
4.0
Predicted runs
54% to win
Miami Marlins
3.5
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 7.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.