Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins
2026-05-21 · 06:40 PM ET · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-05-21. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 4.52, Miami Marlins 3.34. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 38%, Atlanta Braves 62%. Projected total runs: 7.86.
Atlanta Braves
4.5
Predicted runs
62% to win
Miami Marlins
3.3
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 7.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.