Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets
2026-06-12 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-06-12. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 3.53, New York Mets 3.31. Model win probability: New York Mets 47%, Atlanta Braves 53%. Projected total runs: 6.84.
Atlanta Braves
3.5
Predicted runs
53% to win
New York Mets
3.3
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 6.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.