Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets
2026-06-14 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-06-14. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 5.11, New York Mets 4.15. Model win probability: New York Mets 42%, Atlanta Braves 58%. Projected total runs: 9.25.
Atlanta Braves
5.1
Predicted runs
58% to win
New York Mets
4.2
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.