Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets
2026-07-29 · 1:10 PM ET · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-07-29. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 4.66, New York Mets 4.44. Model win probability: New York Mets 48%, Atlanta Braves 52%. Projected total runs: 9.09.
Atlanta Braves
4.7
Predicted runs
52% to win
New York Mets
4.4
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
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