Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals
2026-04-22 · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-04-22. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 9.04, Washington Nationals 4.44. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 20%, Atlanta Braves 80%. Projected total runs: 13.48.
Atlanta Braves
9.0
Predicted runs
80% to win
Washington Nationals
4.4
Predicted runs
20% to win
Projected total: 13.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
