Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals
2026-04-23 · 01:05 PM ET · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-04-23. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 8.85, Washington Nationals 3.88. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 17%, Atlanta Braves 83%. Projected total runs: 12.73.
Atlanta Braves
8.8
Predicted runs
83% to win
Washington Nationals
3.9
Predicted runs
17% to win
Projected total: 12.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.