Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 9:40 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Atlanta Braves @ San Diego Padres

2026-06-24 · Petco Park

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-06-24. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 4.2, San Diego Padres 3.34. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 41%, Atlanta Braves 59%. Projected total runs: 7.53.

Atlanta Braves
4.2
Predicted runs
59% to win
San Diego Padres
3.3
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 7.5 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.