$10 first month for new membersNew members: your first month is $10 · then $39/mo · cancel anytime

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

2026-09-06

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies on 2026-09-06. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 4.57, Philadelphia Phillies 3.48. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 38%, Atlanta Braves 62%. Projected total runs: 8.05.

Atlanta Braves

4.6

Predicted runs

62% to win

Philadelphia Phillies

3.5

Predicted runs

38% to win

Projected total: 8.1 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.

Mongoose Bets — Sports Betting Analytics & Betting Intelligence

Mongoose Bets runs 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per MLB game to expose where sportsbook lines disagree with the model. We don't sell picks — we show the math behind every edge.

Today's MLB game predictions, player-prop projections, NRFI picks, home run odds, batter-vs-pitcher matchups, bullpen fatigue, ballpark factors, and umpire tendencies — all derived from the same simulation, updated every morning.

Beyond baseball: NFL weekly game simulations, player props and DFS; college football model-vs-market on every FBS game with team ratings; WNBA game and prop simulations; and PGA Tour outrights, head-to-heads and make-cut probability.

Browse Mongoose Bets:

This site requires JavaScript for the interactive simulation views. Enable JavaScript to access live edges, distribution charts, and the full Mongoose Bets dashboard.

21+ · For entertainment purposes only · Not professional betting advice · Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700