Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 9:02 AM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

2026-09-07 · 01:05 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-09-07. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 4.28, Philadelphia Phillies 4.53. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 53%, Atlanta Braves 47%. Projected total runs: 8.82.

Atlanta Braves
4.3
Predicted runs
47% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.5
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.