Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox
2026-05-26 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-05-26. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 4.49, Boston Red Sox 3.45. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 40%, Atlanta Braves 60%. Projected total runs: 7.94.
Atlanta Braves
4.5
Predicted runs
60% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.5
Predicted runs
40% to win
Projected total: 7.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.