Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox
2026-05-28 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Atlanta Braves at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-05-28. Predicted final score: Atlanta Braves 3.85, Boston Red Sox 3.29. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 45%, Atlanta Braves 55%. Projected total runs: 7.13.
Atlanta Braves
3.9
Predicted runs
55% to win
Boston Red Sox
3.3
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 7.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.