Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-05-05 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-05-05. Predicted final score: Milwaukee Brewers 6.58, St. Louis Cardinals 5.29. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 41%, Milwaukee Brewers 59%. Projected total runs: 11.87.
Milwaukee Brewers
6.6
Predicted runs
59% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
5.3
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 11.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.