Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-07-06 · 07:45 PM ET · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-07-06. Predicted final score: Milwaukee Brewers 4.56, St. Louis Cardinals 3.3. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 37%, Milwaukee Brewers 63%. Projected total runs: 7.86.
Milwaukee Brewers
4.6
Predicted runs
63% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
3.3
Predicted runs
37% to win
Projected total: 7.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.