Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-07-09 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-07-09. Predicted final score: Milwaukee Brewers 4.79, St. Louis Cardinals 4.48. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 47%, Milwaukee Brewers 53%. Projected total runs: 9.27.
Milwaukee Brewers
4.8
Predicted runs
53% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.5
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.