Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks
2026-07-05 · Chase Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on 2026-07-05. Predicted final score: Milwaukee Brewers 4.49, Arizona Diamondbacks 3.28. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 38%, Milwaukee Brewers 62%. Projected total runs: 7.76.
Milwaukee Brewers
4.5
Predicted runs
62% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
3.3
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.