Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Milwaukee Brewers @ New York Mets
2026-08-25 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-08-25. Predicted final score: Milwaukee Brewers 4.81, New York Mets 3.95. Model win probability: New York Mets 41%, Milwaukee Brewers 59%. Projected total runs: 8.75.
Milwaukee Brewers
4.8
Predicted runs
59% to win
New York Mets
4.0
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.