Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals
2026-05-01 · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-05-01. Predicted final score: Milwaukee Brewers 5.7, Washington Nationals 3.85. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 34%, Milwaukee Brewers 66%. Projected total runs: 9.55.
Milwaukee Brewers
5.7
Predicted runs
66% to win
Washington Nationals
3.9
Predicted runs
34% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
