Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals
2026-05-02 · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-05-02. Predicted final score: Milwaukee Brewers 5.9, Washington Nationals 4.49. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 41%, Milwaukee Brewers 59%. Projected total runs: 10.38.
Milwaukee Brewers
5.9
Predicted runs
59% to win
Washington Nationals
4.5
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 10.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
