Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres
2026-08-10 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-08-10. Predicted final score: Milwaukee Brewers 4.93, San Diego Padres 3.95. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 39%, Milwaukee Brewers 61%. Projected total runs: 8.88.
Milwaukee Brewers
4.9
Predicted runs
61% to win
San Diego Padres
4.0
Predicted runs
39% to win
Projected total: 8.9 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.