Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres
2026-08-11 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-08-11. Predicted final score: Milwaukee Brewers 5.15, San Diego Padres 3.86. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 35%, Milwaukee Brewers 65%. Projected total runs: 9.01.
Milwaukee Brewers
5.2
Predicted runs
65% to win
San Diego Padres
3.9
Predicted runs
35% to win
Projected total: 9.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.