Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-07-10 · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-07-10. Predicted final score: Milwaukee Brewers 3.8, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.6. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 59%, Milwaukee Brewers 41%. Projected total runs: 8.4.
Milwaukee Brewers
3.8
Predicted runs
41% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.6
Predicted runs
59% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.