Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates (Game 2)
2026-07-11 · 4:05 PM ET · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates (Game 2) at PNC Park on 2026-07-11. Predicted final score: Milwaukee Brewers 5.26, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.76. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 45%, Milwaukee Brewers 55%. Projected total runs: 10.03.
Milwaukee Brewers
5.3
Predicted runs
55% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.8
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 10.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.