Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
2026-07-12 · 12:15 PM ET · PNC Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-07-12. Predicted final score: Milwaukee Brewers 4.61, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.62. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 52%, Milwaukee Brewers 48%. Projected total runs: 9.24.
Milwaukee Brewers
4.6
Predicted runs
48% to win
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.6
Predicted runs
52% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.