Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Athletics
2026-05-12 · Sutter Health Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Athletics at Sutter Health Park on 2026-05-12. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 3.69, Athletics 5.75. Model win probability: Athletics 70%, St. Louis Cardinals 30%. Projected total runs: 9.44.
St. Louis Cardinals
3.7
Predicted runs
30% to win
Athletics
5.8
Predicted runs
70% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.