Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Athletics
2026-05-13 · Sutter Health Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Athletics at Sutter Health Park on 2026-05-13. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 3.38, Athletics 6.18. Model win probability: Athletics 76%, St. Louis Cardinals 24%. Projected total runs: 9.55.
St. Louis Cardinals
3.4
Predicted runs
24% to win
Athletics
6.2
Predicted runs
76% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.