Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-08-01 · 03:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-08-01. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 3.99, Toronto Blue Jays 3.17. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 41%, St. Louis Cardinals 59%. Projected total runs: 7.16.
St. Louis Cardinals
4.0
Predicted runs
59% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
3.2
Predicted runs
41% to win
Projected total: 7.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.