Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves
2026-06-30 · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-06-30. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 3.47, Atlanta Braves 4.29. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 59%, St. Louis Cardinals 41%. Projected total runs: 7.76.
St. Louis Cardinals
3.5
Predicted runs
41% to win
Atlanta Braves
4.3
Predicted runs
59% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.