Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves
2026-07-01 · 07:15 PM ET · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-07-01. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 3.89, Atlanta Braves 3.82. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 49%, St. Louis Cardinals 51%. Projected total runs: 7.71.
St. Louis Cardinals
3.9
Predicted runs
51% to win
Atlanta Braves
3.8
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 7.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.