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St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs

2026-07-04

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs on 2026-07-04. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 3.93, Chicago Cubs 3.78. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 49%, St. Louis Cardinals 51%. Projected total runs: 7.71.

St. Louis Cardinals

3.9

Predicted runs

51% to win

Chicago Cubs

3.8

Predicted runs

49% to win

Projected total: 7.7 runs

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