Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs
2026-07-05 · 02:30 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-07-05. Predicted final score: St. Louis Cardinals 3.79, Chicago Cubs 3.38. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 47%, St. Louis Cardinals 53%. Projected total runs: 7.17.
St. Louis Cardinals
3.8
Predicted runs
53% to win
Chicago Cubs
3.4
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 7.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.